Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.277171 0.325072 0.375785 0.433189 0.496075 0.562604 0.638035
2025-01-26 0.213578 0.279279 0.353521 0.442462 0.544977 0.658367 0.792201
2025-02-02 0.168909 0.245502 0.337505 0.453380 0.592747 0.752493 0.946969
2025-02-09 0.128712 0.209392 0.312580 0.449011 0.619693 0.821644 1.074149
2025-02-16 0.102720 0.186375 0.299817 0.456379 0.658889 0.904805 1.218882
2025-02-23 0.079270 0.162064 0.281475 0.453489 0.683228 0.969046 1.341216
2025-03-02 0.056761 0.134042 0.253723 0.434383 0.683911 1.002099 1.424476
2025-03-09 0.044997 0.120592 0.244860 0.439540 0.715435 1.073772 1.556188
2025-03-16 0.032920 0.103273 0.227407 0.430183 0.725704 1.117103 1.651837
2025-03-23 0.027968 0.098470 0.229178 0.448732 0.774555 1.211472 1.813914
2025-03-30 0.021248 0.087766 0.219421 0.448507 0.796146 1.269368 1.929088
2025-04-06 0.015973 0.078430 0.210594 0.448599 0.817479 1.326660 2.043711
2025-04-13 0.012640 0.072992 0.208495 0.459707 0.855892 1.408985 2.194205
2025-04-20 0.010273 0.069325 0.209246 0.475320 0.901238 1.501536 2.359562
2025-04-27 0.008255 0.065788 0.209726 0.490284 0.945804 1.593620 2.525437
2025-05-04 0.005615 0.058160 0.200503 0.487710 0.963165 1.647573 2.640380
2025-05-11 0.004135 0.054001 0.198080 0.496673 0.998278 1.726877 2.790404
2025-05-18 0.002605 0.047745 0.189793 0.494298 1.015184 1.780161 2.905237
2025-05-25 0.001166 0.038721 0.172898 0.474452 1.003117 1.790987 2.961307
2025-06-01 0.000681 0.035403 0.169718 0.480139 1.032087 1.861515 3.100449
2025-06-08 0.000240 0.029815 0.159094 0.470347 1.035037 1.893587 3.186032
2025-06-15 0.000157 0.029398 0.163192 0.490084 1.087371 1.999187 3.375517
2025-06-22 0.000041 0.026032 0.157723 0.489888 1.106060 2.054831 3.495067